Macron will lose by 3 percent! Holy Sh#t!

After Sunday’s first round in the race for President of the Grande Nation it seems pretty realistic that Europe will have to deal with Marine LePen and her dramatically wrong political views as President of France. 

In the following lines I am going to elaborate why I see a high probability that pro-European Emmanuel Macron has no chance to win the election.

It’s neither about his competency, nor that a majority of France is against the European Union. It’s about the fact that majority of French public cannot imagine having a first Lady in her sixties beside their president who’s in his thirties.

Of course this is a highly stupid, and almost a homophobe argument because love neither knows age nor race nor gender! But unfortunately this perception is still in the mind of many, many people all around the world. Especially in rural areas!

Taking a look at history we will find out that the first lady has an important impact on the chances of a candidate. Jackie Kennedy, Michelle Obama and just recently in France Carla Bruni had major contributions to the success of their husbands.

Especially in the case of Nicholas Sarkozy in France I had the impression the many voters was led by the thought: A not very handsome man like Sarkozy who can attract a woman like Carla Bruni must have something special and is probably capable of running the country.

And surprisingly it’s not primarily men but women – especially elder women – who have that opinion.

It’s like hardly any mother wants to have a daughter in law in her own age. The son „deserves“ something better. And somehow the same way a good portion of the voters think on their president to elect.
It’s absurd but in the perception of many people Silvio Berlusconi gained status because he had young women around him. And I am afraid that Emmanuel Macron could face the same dynamics but just the other way around.

Personally I prefer Macron because he is representing a pro-European, pragmatic and moderate course which is highly needed. Despite the fact that he has hardly political experience I am convinced that he might have a good impact on France and Europe. And I definitely don’t care whom he loves.

But media is making the same mistake as many times before in regards to right-wing-populists:
Instead of talking candid about Macron’s risks and weaknesses to mobilize as many of his potential voters as possible, all (moderate) gazettes today are full of why Marine LePen cannot make the race. It seems if they want to satisfy themselves and their audience and provide a feeling of safety until it’s too late.
That’s the same stupidity that already happened with Trump in the United States. Until he was elected President nobody took him for serious. And yes it seems absurd that we see the name LePen in the finals of France’s race for presidency but unfortunately it’s bloody reality.

This French election is key to the future of Europe. Marina LePen as President of France would mean  – despite Jean Claude Juncker already expressed this wouldn’t happen – the end of European Union. After BREXIT this union cannot effort a FREXIT.

So please let’s wake up and realize that there is a good chance that Macron will lose due to the fact that France does not want to have a that much older First Lady. If accept this we can start to explain to the people why this argument is bullshit and the two of them will definitely represent the Grande Nation in a great manner.

Definitely better than Marine LePen ever will or even could …

To learn more about Marina LePen follow the link below: 

Portrait of Wall Street Journal @ Youtube

5 Comments

  1. Fun Thesis: “Especially in the case of Nicholas Sarkozy in France I had the impression the many voters was led by the thought: A not very handsome man like Sarkozy who can attract a woman like Carla Bruni must have something special and is probably capable of running the country.”

    Fun Fact: Sarkozy and his second wife Cécilia ultimately divorced on 15 October 2007, soon after his election as President. In November 2007, less than a month after separating from Cécilia, Sarkozy met Italian-born singer, songwriter and former fashion model Carla Bruni at a dinner party, and soon entered a relationship with her. They married on 2 February 2008 at the Élysée Palace in Paris.

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    1. Your conclusion on the timing is totally correct. That is not alternative facts, but my mistake.
      Nevertheless I consider the fun-thesis of Carla’s supporting influence as correct as the PR-trip to Dinseyland in December 2008 illustrates.
      Thank you very much for your correcting comment! Highly appreciated!

      Like

  2. “It’s neither about his competency, nor that a majority of France is against the European Union. ”
    not true : 70% of French people is in favor of staying in the UE

    Like

    1. The full context is:
      “It’s neither about his competency, nor that a majority of France is against the European Union. It’s about the fact that majority of French public cannot imagine having a first Lady in her sixties beside their president who’s in his thirties.”

      Like

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